Superforecasting
by Philip E. Tetlock
Taste attributes: documentarypsychologicalfresh & originalwholesomeheavyrealisticlinearemotive & stirringempowerment/personal growthsolving the riddle/not as it seems
Boxlist takeAn inventive, realistic non-fiction book, otherwise balanced. Best if you like real life over fantasy.
Taste details
Pace: balanced · Originality: fresh · Tone: balanced · Weight: balanced · Realism: true to life · Story: balanced · Structure: linear · Look: balanced · Scale: balanced · Emotional punch: balancedHow we score
Open Library rating
4.1 / 5
8 ratings
About This Book
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance.
Description: Open Library
Characteristics
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Details
- Author
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Published
- 2015
- Pages
- 338
- Taste scores
- How we score
- Source
- Open Library
How book matches work
Books are scored on the same ten characteristics as films and matched with the same formula and your own match bands. Book scores are estimates, made from Open Library subjects and descriptions plus an AI reading.
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